Recent weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters points to an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 25°C, while current runs show slightly cooler readings around 23–25°C amid stable high pressure and no active tropical systems. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (59%) and 25°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability and minimal downside risk from unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through August 31 shows little model spread, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
26°C 95%
23°C 82%
25°C 82%
28°C 82%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
52%
22°C
17%
23°C
82%
24°C
59%
25°C
82%
26°C
95%
27°C
81%
28°C
82%
29°C or higher
37%
26°C 95%
23°C 82%
25°C 82%
28°C 82%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
19°C or below
$8 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$63 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$63 ปริมาณ
52%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
82%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
82%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
81%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
82%
29°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters points to an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 25°C, while current runs show slightly cooler readings around 23–25°C amid stable high pressure and no active tropical systems. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (59%) and 25°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability and minimal downside risk from unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through August 31 shows little model spread, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters points to an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 25°C, while current runs show slightly cooler readings around 23–25°C amid stable high pressure and no active tropical systems. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (59%) and 25°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability and minimal downside risk from unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through August 31 shows little model spread, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters points to an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 25°C, while current runs show slightly cooler readings around 23–25°C amid stable high pressure and no active tropical systems. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (59%) and 25°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability and minimal downside risk from unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through August 31 shows little model spread, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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