Uncertainty in early-September cold front timing and tropical moisture interactions drives the balanced market odds between sub-8°C and 18°C+ lows for Mexico City on September 3. At 2,240 m elevation, nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover from the rainy season can swing minima several degrees, while the southward-shifting subtropical jet may steer cooler air masses earlier than climatology. Current model runs show forecast lows clustered near 12–14°C amid scattered storms, with divergences arising from exact front placement and precipitation timing that modulates overnight heat loss. Traders weigh historical September averages around 12°C against potential for enhanced cooling or suppressed diurnal ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
18°C or higher 91%
9°C 49%
10°C 49%
17°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
15%
9°C
49%
10°C
49%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
47%
18°C or higher
91%
18°C or higher 91%
9°C 49%
10°C 49%
17°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
15%
9°C
$10 ปริมาณ
49%
10°C
$10 ปริมาณ
49%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
17°C
$10 ปริมาณ
47%
18°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in early-September cold front timing and tropical moisture interactions drives the balanced market odds between sub-8°C and 18°C+ lows for Mexico City on September 3. At 2,240 m elevation, nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover from the rainy season can swing minima several degrees, while the southward-shifting subtropical jet may steer cooler air masses earlier than climatology. Current model runs show forecast lows clustered near 12–14°C amid scattered storms, with divergences arising from exact front placement and precipitation timing that modulates overnight heat loss. Traders weigh historical September averages around 12°C against potential for enhanced cooling or suppressed diurnal ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in early-September cold front timing and tropical moisture interactions drives the balanced market odds between sub-8°C and 18°C+ lows for Mexico City on September 3. At 2,240 m elevation, nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover from the rainy season can swing minima several degrees, while the southward-shifting subtropical jet may steer cooler air masses earlier than climatology. Current model runs show forecast lows clustered near 12–14°C amid scattered storms, with divergences arising from exact front placement and precipitation timing that modulates overnight heat loss. Traders weigh historical September averages around 12°C against potential for enhanced cooling or suppressed diurnal ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in early-September cold front timing and tropical moisture interactions drives the balanced market odds between sub-8°C and 18°C+ lows for Mexico City on September 3. At 2,240 m elevation, nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover from the rainy season can swing minima several degrees, while the southward-shifting subtropical jet may steer cooler air masses earlier than climatology. Current model runs show forecast lows clustered near 12–14°C amid scattered storms, with divergences arising from exact front placement and precipitation timing that modulates overnight heat loss. Traders weigh historical September averages around 12°C against potential for enhanced cooling or suppressed diurnal ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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