**Mild southwesterly airflow and persistent cloud cover are positioning overnight lows near 15–16 °C as the leading outcomes for London on September 2.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a stable airmass with minimal radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C. Persistent overcast skies and urban heat-island effects further limit temperature drops, while daytime maxima around 21–23 °C confirm the mild regime. Recent model runs show little spread in the overnight minimum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C. Updated forecasts issued in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data point for any shift in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 2?
Lowest temperature in London on September 2?
16°C 56%
15°C 38%
17°C 5%
14°C 4.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
38%
16°C
56%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
15°C 38%
17°C 5%
14°C 4.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$129 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$150 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$50 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C
$710 ปริมาณ
38%
16°C
$977 ปริมาณ
56%
17°C
$134 ปริมาณ
5%
18°C
$55 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly airflow and persistent cloud cover are positioning overnight lows near 15–16 °C as the leading outcomes for London on September 2.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a stable airmass with minimal radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C. Persistent overcast skies and urban heat-island effects further limit temperature drops, while daytime maxima around 21–23 °C confirm the mild regime. Recent model runs show little spread in the overnight minimum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C. Updated forecasts issued in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data point for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,406วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild southwesterly airflow and persistent cloud cover are positioning overnight lows near 15–16 °C as the leading outcomes for London on September 2.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a stable airmass with minimal radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C. Persistent overcast skies and urban heat-island effects further limit temperature drops, while daytime maxima around 21–23 °C confirm the mild regime. Recent model runs show little spread in the overnight minimum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C. Updated forecasts issued in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data point for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,406วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Mild southwesterly airflow and persistent cloud cover are positioning overnight lows near 15–16 °C as the leading outcomes for London on September 2.** Official guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models shows a stable airmass with minimal radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above the September climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C. Persistent overcast skies and urban heat-island effects further limit temperature drops, while daytime maxima around 21–23 °C confirm the mild regime. Recent model runs show little spread in the overnight minimum, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 15 °C and 16 °C. Updated forecasts issued in the next 12–24 hours will be the key data point for any shift in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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