**Forecast models and current high-pressure conditions position overnight lows around 13–14°C as the most probable minimum temperature for London on September 1, 2026.** Recent GFS-based guidance and Met Office outlooks show a stable synoptic pattern with building high pressure (near 1020 mb), light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling while keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average low of ~12.8°C. Specific model runs indicate a minimum near 13°C (roughly 55–56°F) around dawn, with some ensembles suggesting 12–15°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat-island moderation in central London. Warmer outcomes (18°C+) remain possible only if unexpected clear, calm conditions or a stronger southerly flow develop, while colder readings (≤12°C) would require an unanticipated northerly chill or clearer skies than currently modeled. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the narrow 12–15°C band most heavily because ensemble spread is modest and no major pattern shifts are expected in the final 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 1?
Lowest temperature in London on September 1?
18°C or higher 42%
13°C 41%
14°C 40%
11°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
12%
9°C
15%
10°C
15%
11°C
20%
12°C
18%
13°C
41%
14°C
24%
15°C
13%
16°C
20%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
42%
18°C or higher 42%
13°C 41%
14°C 40%
11°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
12°C
$38 ปริมาณ
18%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
14°C
$55 ปริมาณ
24%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current high-pressure conditions position overnight lows around 13–14°C as the most probable minimum temperature for London on September 1, 2026.** Recent GFS-based guidance and Met Office outlooks show a stable synoptic pattern with building high pressure (near 1020 mb), light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling while keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average low of ~12.8°C.
Specific model runs indicate a minimum near 13°C (roughly 55–56°F) around dawn, with some ensembles suggesting 12–15°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat-island moderation in central London. Warmer outcomes (18°C+) remain possible only if unexpected clear, calm conditions or a stronger southerly flow develop, while colder readings (≤12°C) would require an unanticipated northerly chill or clearer skies than currently modeled.
With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the narrow 12–15°C band most heavily because ensemble spread is modest and no major pattern shifts are expected in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$93วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current high-pressure conditions position overnight lows around 13–14°C as the most probable minimum temperature for London on September 1, 2026.** Recent GFS-based guidance and Met Office outlooks show a stable synoptic pattern with building high pressure (near 1020 mb), light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling while keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average low of ~12.8°C.
Specific model runs indicate a minimum near 13°C (roughly 55–56°F) around dawn, with some ensembles suggesting 12–15°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat-island moderation in central London. Warmer outcomes (18°C+) remain possible only if unexpected clear, calm conditions or a stronger southerly flow develop, while colder readings (≤12°C) would require an unanticipated northerly chill or clearer skies than currently modeled.
With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the narrow 12–15°C band most heavily because ensemble spread is modest and no major pattern shifts are expected in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$93วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current high-pressure conditions position overnight lows around 13–14°C as the most probable minimum temperature for London on September 1, 2026.** Recent GFS-based guidance and Met Office outlooks show a stable synoptic pattern with building high pressure (near 1020 mb), light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling while keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term average low of ~12.8°C. Specific model runs indicate a minimum near 13°C (roughly 55–56°F) around dawn, with some ensembles suggesting 12–15°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat-island moderation in central London. Warmer outcomes (18°C+) remain possible only if unexpected clear, calm conditions or a stronger southerly flow develop, while colder readings (≤12°C) would require an unanticipated northerly chill or clearer skies than currently modeled. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the narrow 12–15°C band most heavily because ensemble spread is modest and no major pattern shifts are expected in the final 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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