**Trader consensus around a 26°C low for Panama City on September 6 reflects model guidance showing overnight minima near 25–26°C amid persistent wet-season conditions.** High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers tied to the monsoon trough and low-pressure systems limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply. Typical September climatology supports overnight lows in this range, with recent observations confirming similar values under comparable convective activity. The tight spread across outcomes near 25–26°C versus slightly cooler or warmer thresholds stems from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift minimum readings by 1–2°C. New model runs and updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
20°C or below 67%
30°C or higher 65%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
67%
21°C
19%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
29%
26°C
40%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
65%
20°C or below 67%
30°C or higher 65%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
67%
21°C
19%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
29%
26°C
40%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around a 26°C low for Panama City on September 6 reflects model guidance showing overnight minima near 25–26°C amid persistent wet-season conditions.** High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers tied to the monsoon trough and low-pressure systems limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply. Typical September climatology supports overnight lows in this range, with recent observations confirming similar values under comparable convective activity. The tight spread across outcomes near 25–26°C versus slightly cooler or warmer thresholds stems from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift minimum readings by 1–2°C. New model runs and updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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