**Forecast models from Environment Canada and other sources currently point to a minimum temperature in Toronto on September 6 in the 12–17°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 24–25°C.** This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15.5°C for the date, though recent model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds that influence overnight radiative cooling. Clear conditions favor stronger cooling after sunset, while any increase in humidity or light easterly flow could limit the drop. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the teens and the notable share assigned to 20°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the final minimum, as small shifts in the nocturnal boundary layer or forecast adjustments can move the outcome by several degrees. New model guidance and official updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 6?
20°C or higher 69%
10°C or below 59%
19°C 49%
13°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
59%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
47%
14°C
47%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
47%
19°C
49%
20°C or higher
69%
20°C or higher 69%
10°C or below 59%
19°C 49%
13°C 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$6 ปริมาณ
59%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Environment Canada and other sources currently point to a minimum temperature in Toronto on September 6 in the 12–17°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 24–25°C.** This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15.5°C for the date, though recent model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds that influence overnight radiative cooling.
Clear conditions favor stronger cooling after sunset, while any increase in humidity or light easterly flow could limit the drop. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the teens and the notable share assigned to 20°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the final minimum, as small shifts in the nocturnal boundary layer or forecast adjustments can move the outcome by several degrees. New model guidance and official updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Environment Canada and other sources currently point to a minimum temperature in Toronto on September 6 in the 12–17°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 24–25°C.** This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15.5°C for the date, though recent model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds that influence overnight radiative cooling.
Clear conditions favor stronger cooling after sunset, while any increase in humidity or light easterly flow could limit the drop. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the teens and the notable share assigned to 20°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the final minimum, as small shifts in the nocturnal boundary layer or forecast adjustments can move the outcome by several degrees. New model guidance and official updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Environment Canada and other sources currently point to a minimum temperature in Toronto on September 6 in the 12–17°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, with daytime highs near 24–25°C.** This aligns closely with the climatological average low of about 15.5°C for the date, though recent model runs show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds that influence overnight radiative cooling. Clear conditions favor stronger cooling after sunset, while any increase in humidity or light easterly flow could limit the drop. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the teens and the notable share assigned to 20°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in the final minimum, as small shifts in the nocturnal boundary layer or forecast adjustments can move the outcome by several degrees. New model guidance and official updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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