Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime maximum of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, afternoon showers, and light southwesterly winds limiting solar heating and evaporative cooling. Seasonal late-summer moisture from the Pacific and Gulf influences, combined with the high-elevation basin setting, favors convective development that caps peaks below historical September averages near 24–25°C. Recent runs show consistent timing of precipitation around midday onward, suppressing the 26°C+ outcome to low implied probability while concentrating trader consensus on 24°C as the modal resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak if rain timing shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
24°C 46%
25°C 33%
23°C 15%
26°C or higher 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
46%
25°C
33%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 46%
25°C 33%
23°C 15%
26°C or higher 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$515 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$79 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$73 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$113 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$287 ปริมาณ
15%
24°C
$1,306 ปริมาณ
46%
25°C
$761 ปริมาณ
33%
26°C or higher
$548 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime maximum of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, afternoon showers, and light southwesterly winds limiting solar heating and evaporative cooling. Seasonal late-summer moisture from the Pacific and Gulf influences, combined with the high-elevation basin setting, favors convective development that caps peaks below historical September averages near 24–25°C. Recent runs show consistent timing of precipitation around midday onward, suppressing the 26°C+ outcome to low implied probability while concentrating trader consensus on 24°C as the modal resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak if rain timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,319วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime maximum of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, afternoon showers, and light southwesterly winds limiting solar heating and evaporative cooling. Seasonal late-summer moisture from the Pacific and Gulf influences, combined with the high-elevation basin setting, favors convective development that caps peaks below historical September averages near 24–25°C. Recent runs show consistent timing of precipitation around midday onward, suppressing the 26°C+ outcome to low implied probability while concentrating trader consensus on 24°C as the modal resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak if rain timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,319วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles converge on a daytime maximum of 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, afternoon showers, and light southwesterly winds limiting solar heating and evaporative cooling. Seasonal late-summer moisture from the Pacific and Gulf influences, combined with the high-elevation basin setting, favors convective development that caps peaks below historical September averages near 24–25°C. Recent runs show consistent timing of precipitation around midday onward, suppressing the 26°C+ outcome to low implied probability while concentrating trader consensus on 24°C as the modal resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak if rain timing shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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