Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 28–29°C for Paris on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow under partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure that limits daytime heating while allowing modest advection of warmer air. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.2°C yet well below late-summer extremes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small uncertainties tied to cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will refine the precise peak. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of short-range predictability and resolution criteria based on official Météo-France observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 4?
28°C 40%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
40%
29°C
30%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$136 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$90 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$35 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$418 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$172 ปริมาณ
40%
29°C
$733 ปริมาณ
30%
30°C
$71 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$55 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$513 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$511 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 28–29°C for Paris on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow under partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure that limits daytime heating while allowing modest advection of warmer air. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.2°C yet well below late-summer extremes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small uncertainties tied to cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will refine the precise peak. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of short-range predictability and resolution criteria based on official Météo-France observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,733วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 28–29°C for Paris on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow under partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure that limits daytime heating while allowing modest advection of warmer air. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.2°C yet well below late-summer extremes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small uncertainties tied to cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will refine the precise peak. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of short-range predictability and resolution criteria based on official Météo-France observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,733วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily high near 28–29°C for Paris on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow under partly cloudy skies and surface high pressure that limits daytime heating while allowing modest advection of warmer air. This places the outcome modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.2°C yet well below late-summer extremes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small uncertainties tied to cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will refine the precise peak. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of short-range predictability and resolution criteria based on official Météo-France observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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