Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to a Tokyo daytime maximum near 27°C on September 7, with heavy rain, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This places the market-implied 27°C outcome (29.5%) slightly ahead of 28°C (20.5%) and 26°C (15.5%), reflecting modest cooling relative to the early-September climatological average of 27–28°C. Southerly flow ahead of a frontal system enhances moisture and suppresses temperature extremes, while model spread centers tightly around 26–28°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 7?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 7?
27°C 31%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
25°C 12%
ใหม่
$11,163 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,163 ปริมาณ
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
12%
26°C
16%
27°C
31%
28°C
23%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
28°C 23%
26°C 16%
25°C 12%
ใหม่
$11,163 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,163 ปริมาณ
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$664 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$588 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$1,104 ปริมาณ
6%
25°C
$2,272 ปริมาณ
12%
26°C
$1,891 ปริมาณ
16%
27°C
$2,076 ปริมาณ
31%
28°C
$1,427 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$817 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$182 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$6 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$136 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to a Tokyo daytime maximum near 27°C on September 7, with heavy rain, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This places the market-implied 27°C outcome (29.5%) slightly ahead of 28°C (20.5%) and 26°C (15.5%), reflecting modest cooling relative to the early-September climatological average of 27–28°C. Southerly flow ahead of a frontal system enhances moisture and suppresses temperature extremes, while model spread centers tightly around 26–28°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to a Tokyo daytime maximum near 27°C on September 7, with heavy rain, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This places the market-implied 27°C outcome (29.5%) slightly ahead of 28°C (20.5%) and 26°C (15.5%), reflecting modest cooling relative to the early-September climatological average of 27–28°C. Southerly flow ahead of a frontal system enhances moisture and suppresses temperature extremes, while model spread centers tightly around 26–28°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to a Tokyo daytime maximum near 27°C on September 7, with heavy rain, high humidity near 90%, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This places the market-implied 27°C outcome (29.5%) slightly ahead of 28°C (20.5%) and 26°C (15.5%), reflecting modest cooling relative to the early-September climatological average of 27–28°C. Southerly flow ahead of a frontal system enhances moisture and suppresses temperature extremes, while model spread centers tightly around 26–28°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will further constrain resolution criteria for the exact daily high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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