Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Karachi, with southwest monsoon flows weakening and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages place maximum temperatures near 32–33°C, consistent with current observations of partly cloudy skies, dew points around 22–24°C, and light to moderate winds that moderate urban heat buildup. These factors position 33°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, while the modest 15% chance for 34°C reflects limited upside potential absent a sudden clear-sky intensification or wind shift. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and typical late-summer variability in the absence of strong synoptic drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on September 11?
33°C 54%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 54%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Karachi, with southwest monsoon flows weakening and moderate sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limiting daytime heating. Historical September averages place maximum temperatures near 32–33°C, consistent with current observations of partly cloudy skies, dew points around 22–24°C, and light to moderate winds that moderate urban heat buildup. These factors position 33°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, while the modest 15% chance for 34°C reflects limited upside potential absent a sudden clear-sky intensification or wind shift. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and typical late-summer variability in the absence of strong synoptic drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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