Recent National Weather Service and private model runs show San Francisco’s September 11 high likely falling between 68–77 °F, with marine-layer strengthening and onshore flow the dominant variables. A recent heat surge peaking near 85 °F on September 8–9 is giving way to cooler Pacific air, but the precise timing of the marine intrusion and cloud cover will determine whether afternoon temperatures reach the mid-70s or stay in the upper 60s. Ensemble spread remains wide because small differences in wind direction and low-cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 4–6 °F. Traders are therefore distributing probability across several adjacent bins rather than concentrating on a single outcome, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next NWS update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 33%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
5%
82°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 33%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
63°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
72-73°F
$5 ปริมาณ
24%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
82°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs show San Francisco’s September 11 high likely falling between 68–77 °F, with marine-layer strengthening and onshore flow the dominant variables. A recent heat surge peaking near 85 °F on September 8–9 is giving way to cooler Pacific air, but the precise timing of the marine intrusion and cloud cover will determine whether afternoon temperatures reach the mid-70s or stay in the upper 60s. Ensemble spread remains wide because small differences in wind direction and low-cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 4–6 °F. Traders are therefore distributing probability across several adjacent bins rather than concentrating on a single outcome, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next NWS update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs show San Francisco’s September 11 high likely falling between 68–77 °F, with marine-layer strengthening and onshore flow the dominant variables. A recent heat surge peaking near 85 °F on September 8–9 is giving way to cooler Pacific air, but the precise timing of the marine intrusion and cloud cover will determine whether afternoon temperatures reach the mid-70s or stay in the upper 60s. Ensemble spread remains wide because small differences in wind direction and low-cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 4–6 °F. Traders are therefore distributing probability across several adjacent bins rather than concentrating on a single outcome, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next NWS update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs show San Francisco’s September 11 high likely falling between 68–77 °F, with marine-layer strengthening and onshore flow the dominant variables. A recent heat surge peaking near 85 °F on September 8–9 is giving way to cooler Pacific air, but the precise timing of the marine intrusion and cloud cover will determine whether afternoon temperatures reach the mid-70s or stay in the upper 60s. Ensemble spread remains wide because small differences in wind direction and low-cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 4–6 °F. Traders are therefore distributing probability across several adjacent bins rather than concentrating on a single outcome, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next NWS update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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