Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw will experience southerly advection of warmer air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 9, supporting afternoon highs near 28–30°C. This setup, with moderate southwest winds and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, explains the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C at 33.5% each. Minor divergences in GFS and ECMWF runs—particularly regarding the timing of a weak frontal passage and associated showers—create uncertainty between these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect the narrow range of plausible outcomes. Updated model guidance and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
30°C 34%
29°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
16%
29°C
33%
30°C
34%
31°C
14%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$50 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$427 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$976 ปริมาณ
33%
30°C
$423 ปริมาณ
34%
31°C
$417 ปริมาณ
14%
32°C
$53 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$85 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$562 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$537 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw will experience southerly advection of warmer air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 9, supporting afternoon highs near 28–30°C. This setup, with moderate southwest winds and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, explains the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C at 33.5% each. Minor divergences in GFS and ECMWF runs—particularly regarding the timing of a weak frontal passage and associated showers—create uncertainty between these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect the narrow range of plausible outcomes. Updated model guidance and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,562วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw will experience southerly advection of warmer air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 9, supporting afternoon highs near 28–30°C. This setup, with moderate southwest winds and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, explains the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C at 33.5% each. Minor divergences in GFS and ECMWF runs—particularly regarding the timing of a weak frontal passage and associated showers—create uncertainty between these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect the narrow range of plausible outcomes. Updated model guidance and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,562วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw will experience southerly advection of warmer air under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 9, supporting afternoon highs near 28–30°C. This setup, with moderate southwest winds and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, explains the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C at 33.5% each. Minor divergences in GFS and ECMWF runs—particularly regarding the timing of a weak frontal passage and associated showers—create uncertainty between these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 28°C or 31°C reflect the narrow range of plausible outcomes. Updated model guidance and local observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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