The observed minimum temperature of 77°F at downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport stations on September 9, 2026, underpins the market's overwhelming 95% implied probability for the 76-77°F range. A strong high-pressure system combined with residual moisture from former Hurricane Marie produced oppressive overnight conditions, with dew points in the mid-60s to mid-70s limiting radiational cooling and keeping lows well above the 65°F September normal. This aligns with National Weather Service climatological reports showing a 12°F positive departure. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as stronger marine layer intrusion or earlier clearing, did not materialize given the persistent heat risk and model consensus on minimal overnight relief.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 9?
76-77°F 96%
70-71°F 4%
68-69°F 3.6%
72-73°F 2%
$1,760 ปริมาณ
$1,760 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
-
76-77°F
96%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 96%
70-71°F 4%
68-69°F 3.6%
72-73°F 2%
$1,760 ปริมาณ
$1,760 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
63°F or below
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$122 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$122 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$143 ปริมาณ
4%
70-71°F
$30 ปริมาณ
4%
72-73°F
$70 ปริมาณ
2%
74-75°F
$253 ปริมาณ
-
76-77°F
$382 ปริมาณ
96%
78-79°F
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
82°F or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed minimum temperature of 77°F at downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport stations on September 9, 2026, underpins the market's overwhelming 95% implied probability for the 76-77°F range. A strong high-pressure system combined with residual moisture from former Hurricane Marie produced oppressive overnight conditions, with dew points in the mid-60s to mid-70s limiting radiational cooling and keeping lows well above the 65°F September normal. This aligns with National Weather Service climatological reports showing a 12°F positive departure. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as stronger marine layer intrusion or earlier clearing, did not materialize given the persistent heat risk and model consensus on minimal overnight relief.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,760วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed minimum temperature of 77°F at downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport stations on September 9, 2026, underpins the market's overwhelming 95% implied probability for the 76-77°F range. A strong high-pressure system combined with residual moisture from former Hurricane Marie produced oppressive overnight conditions, with dew points in the mid-60s to mid-70s limiting radiational cooling and keeping lows well above the 65°F September normal. This aligns with National Weather Service climatological reports showing a 12°F positive departure. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as stronger marine layer intrusion or earlier clearing, did not materialize given the persistent heat risk and model consensus on minimal overnight relief.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,760วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The observed minimum temperature of 77°F at downtown Los Angeles and Los Angeles International Airport stations on September 9, 2026, underpins the market's overwhelming 95% implied probability for the 76-77°F range. A strong high-pressure system combined with residual moisture from former Hurricane Marie produced oppressive overnight conditions, with dew points in the mid-60s to mid-70s limiting radiational cooling and keeping lows well above the 65°F September normal. This aligns with National Weather Service climatological reports showing a 12°F positive departure. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome, such as stronger marine layer intrusion or earlier clearing, did not materialize given the persistent heat risk and model consensus on minimal overnight relief.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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