Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by a shift to cooler westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and light rain suppressing daytime heating after a warmer period. This aligns with the dominant 20°C market outcome, as observed hourly peaks hover around 18–19°C amid moderate winds and high humidity. Traders weigh the low probability of exceeding 21°C against potential brief clear spells or model revisions, while September climatology (typical highs 18–22°C) supports the narrow distribution around these values ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
20°C 81%
21°C 13%
22°C 3%
19°C <1%
$90,652 ปริมาณ
$90,652 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
81%
21°C
13%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 81%
21°C 13%
22°C 3%
19°C <1%
$90,652 ปริมาณ
$90,652 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
81%
21°C
13%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local monitoring indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Warsaw on September 10, driven by a shift to cooler westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and light rain suppressing daytime heating after a warmer period. This aligns with the dominant 20°C market outcome, as observed hourly peaks hover around 18–19°C amid moderate winds and high humidity. Traders weigh the low probability of exceeding 21°C against potential brief clear spells or model revisions, while September climatology (typical highs 18–22°C) supports the narrow distribution around these values ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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