**Forecast consensus points to a September 11 high in Warsaw near 18–19 °C under building high pressure and light winds following the sharp cooldown on the 10th.** After a warm spell that produced highs near 30 °C on the 9th, a cold front brought cooler, breezy air and light rain on the 10th. By the 11th, models show stabilization with partly to mostly cloudy skies, minimal precipitation risk, and daytime maxima generally projected in the 17–21 °C range across sources such as Worldmeteo (19 °C), Yr (19 °C), and several global ensembles (17–19 °C). Light southwesterly to westerly flow and increasing surface pressure limit strong warming or cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered. The market’s near-even split between 18 °C and 19 °C (each ~22 %) reflects small but persistent differences among model runs in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier clearance or marginally stronger insolation could push the verified maximum (typically the official 24-hour peak at the Warsaw station) to 19 °C, while persistent low cloud would favor 17–18 °C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus national IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
19°C 36%
17°C 23%
18°C 19%
16°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
23%
18°C
19%
19°C
36%
20°C
7%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 36%
17°C 23%
18°C 19%
16°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
19%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a September 11 high in Warsaw near 18–19 °C under building high pressure and light winds following the sharp cooldown on the 10th.**
After a warm spell that produced highs near 30 °C on the 9th, a cold front brought cooler, breezy air and light rain on the 10th. By the 11th, models show stabilization with partly to mostly cloudy skies, minimal precipitation risk, and daytime maxima generally projected in the 17–21 °C range across sources such as Worldmeteo (19 °C), Yr (19 °C), and several global ensembles (17–19 °C). Light southwesterly to westerly flow and increasing surface pressure limit strong warming or cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered.
The market’s near-even split between 18 °C and 19 °C (each ~22 %) reflects small but persistent differences among model runs in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier clearance or marginally stronger insolation could push the verified maximum (typically the official 24-hour peak at the Warsaw station) to 19 °C, while persistent low cloud would favor 17–18 °C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus national IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a September 11 high in Warsaw near 18–19 °C under building high pressure and light winds following the sharp cooldown on the 10th.**
After a warm spell that produced highs near 30 °C on the 9th, a cold front brought cooler, breezy air and light rain on the 10th. By the 11th, models show stabilization with partly to mostly cloudy skies, minimal precipitation risk, and daytime maxima generally projected in the 17–21 °C range across sources such as Worldmeteo (19 °C), Yr (19 °C), and several global ensembles (17–19 °C). Light southwesterly to westerly flow and increasing surface pressure limit strong warming or cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered.
The market’s near-even split between 18 °C and 19 °C (each ~22 %) reflects small but persistent differences among model runs in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier clearance or marginally stronger insolation could push the verified maximum (typically the official 24-hour peak at the Warsaw station) to 19 °C, while persistent low cloud would favor 17–18 °C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus national IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a September 11 high in Warsaw near 18–19 °C under building high pressure and light winds following the sharp cooldown on the 10th.** After a warm spell that produced highs near 30 °C on the 9th, a cold front brought cooler, breezy air and light rain on the 10th. By the 11th, models show stabilization with partly to mostly cloudy skies, minimal precipitation risk, and daytime maxima generally projected in the 17–21 °C range across sources such as Worldmeteo (19 °C), Yr (19 °C), and several global ensembles (17–19 °C). Light southwesterly to westerly flow and increasing surface pressure limit strong warming or cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered. The market’s near-even split between 18 °C and 19 °C (each ~22 %) reflects small but persistent differences among model runs in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier clearance or marginally stronger insolation could push the verified maximum (typically the official 24-hour peak at the Warsaw station) to 19 °C, while persistent low cloud would favor 17–18 °C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus national IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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