Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate thunderstorms and showers over Milan on September 9, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's strong 83.5% implied probability for a 24°C high, as official guidance points to a peak near that threshold amid easterly flow and high humidity. Storm activity has suppressed temperatures below typical early-September levels, where clearer skies often allow readings several degrees warmer. Traders appear to weigh the consensus on modest insolation and evaporative cooling against any late-day clearing that could push readings to 25°C, though the latter carries only 10.5% odds. Official station data will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle completes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 9?
24°C 74%
25°C 15%
26°C 6%
27°C or higher 3%
$48,034 ปริมาณ
$48,034 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
74%
25°C
15%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
3%
24°C 74%
25°C 15%
26°C 6%
27°C or higher 3%
$48,034 ปริมาณ
$48,034 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
74%
25°C
15%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate thunderstorms and showers over Milan on September 9, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and precipitation limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's strong 83.5% implied probability for a 24°C high, as official guidance points to a peak near that threshold amid easterly flow and high humidity. Storm activity has suppressed temperatures below typical early-September levels, where clearer skies often allow readings several degrees warmer. Traders appear to weigh the consensus on modest insolation and evaporative cooling against any late-day clearing that could push readings to 25°C, though the latter carries only 10.5% odds. Official station data will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle completes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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