Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a partly cloudy to sunny day on September 9 with highs most likely reaching 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal subtropical highs near the South China Sea, moderated by easterly flow and typical early-September humidity levels around 70–80%, without strong tropical cyclone influences or cold fronts. August's record warmth and an emerging El Niño have supported above-normal baselines, yet localized cloud cover and showers have capped recent daily maxima near 31°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, keeping 32°C or higher at low odds while reinforcing the narrow 30–31°C range as the consensus outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
31°C 59%
30°C 26%
32°C 10%
33°C <1%
ใหม่
$84,193 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$84,193 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
26%
31°C
59%
32°C
10%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 59%
30°C 26%
32°C 10%
33°C <1%
ใหม่
$84,193 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$84,193 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$21,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$333 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,854 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$28,101 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$8,153 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$5,313 ปริมาณ
59%
32°C
$7,920 ปริมาณ
10%
33°C
$5,346 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$1,145 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$223 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a partly cloudy to sunny day on September 9 with highs most likely reaching 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal subtropical highs near the South China Sea, moderated by easterly flow and typical early-September humidity levels around 70–80%, without strong tropical cyclone influences or cold fronts. August's record warmth and an emerging El Niño have supported above-normal baselines, yet localized cloud cover and showers have capped recent daily maxima near 31°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, keeping 32°C or higher at low odds while reinforcing the narrow 30–31°C range as the consensus outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,193วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a partly cloudy to sunny day on September 9 with highs most likely reaching 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal subtropical highs near the South China Sea, moderated by easterly flow and typical early-September humidity levels around 70–80%, without strong tropical cyclone influences or cold fronts. August's record warmth and an emerging El Niño have supported above-normal baselines, yet localized cloud cover and showers have capped recent daily maxima near 31°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, keeping 32°C or higher at low odds while reinforcing the narrow 30–31°C range as the consensus outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,193วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a partly cloudy to sunny day on September 9 with highs most likely reaching 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. This reflects seasonal subtropical highs near the South China Sea, moderated by easterly flow and typical early-September humidity levels around 70–80%, without strong tropical cyclone influences or cold fronts. August's record warmth and an emerging El Niño have supported above-normal baselines, yet localized cloud cover and showers have capped recent daily maxima near 31°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, keeping 32°C or higher at low odds while reinforcing the narrow 30–31°C range as the consensus outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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