Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance point to a high near 91°F in Houston on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 62.5% implied probability. Persistent tropical moisture and an elongated ridge favor scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit full insolation, while southeast winds and high humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) moderate peak heating close to the 1991-2020 daily average of 90.3°F. Earlier September readings in the low to mid-90s reflect the broader warm pattern, yet increased Gulf moisture and diurnally driven convection have introduced slight cooling potential compared with drier analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for exceeding 92°F against the high likelihood of cloud cover and precipitation interrupting the daily temperature climb before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on September 10?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 10?
90-91°F 63%
88-89°F 16%
92-93°F 15%
86-87°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
63%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 63%
88-89°F 16%
92-93°F 15%
86-87°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
79°F or below
$732 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$127 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$543 ปริมาณ
2%
86-87°F
$1,360 ปริมาณ
6%
88-89°F
$3,244 ปริมาณ
16%
90-91°F
$1,035 ปริมาณ
63%
92-93°F
$1,274 ปริมาณ
15%
94-95°F
$598 ปริมาณ
4%
96-97°F
$280 ปริมาณ
2%
98°F or higher
$248 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance point to a high near 91°F in Houston on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 62.5% implied probability. Persistent tropical moisture and an elongated ridge favor scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit full insolation, while southeast winds and high humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) moderate peak heating close to the 1991-2020 daily average of 90.3°F. Earlier September readings in the low to mid-90s reflect the broader warm pattern, yet increased Gulf moisture and diurnally driven convection have introduced slight cooling potential compared with drier analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for exceeding 92°F against the high likelihood of cloud cover and precipitation interrupting the daily temperature climb before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,870วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance point to a high near 91°F in Houston on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 62.5% implied probability. Persistent tropical moisture and an elongated ridge favor scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit full insolation, while southeast winds and high humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) moderate peak heating close to the 1991-2020 daily average of 90.3°F. Earlier September readings in the low to mid-90s reflect the broader warm pattern, yet increased Gulf moisture and diurnally driven convection have introduced slight cooling potential compared with drier analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for exceeding 92°F against the high likelihood of cloud cover and precipitation interrupting the daily temperature climb before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,870วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance point to a high near 91°F in Houston on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90-91°F bin at 62.5% implied probability. Persistent tropical moisture and an elongated ridge favor scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms that limit full insolation, while southeast winds and high humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) moderate peak heating close to the 1991-2020 daily average of 90.3°F. Earlier September readings in the low to mid-90s reflect the broader warm pattern, yet increased Gulf moisture and diurnally driven convection have introduced slight cooling potential compared with drier analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for exceeding 92°F against the high likelihood of cloud cover and precipitation interrupting the daily temperature climb before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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