Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on September 11, 2026, indicate clear skies overnight with light northwest winds shifting southerly, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a projected low near 12°C. This aligns with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus emphasizes minimal cloud cover and dry conditions following a frontal passage, limiting overnight temperature moderation compared to typical September averages of 14–15°C. Differentiation among closely matched bins (11–13°C) hinges on precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in wind or humidity. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for mid-12°C readings against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, while lower-probability tails like 7°C or below reflect low-confidence outlier scenarios. Updated NWP runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
17°C or higher 49%
7°C or below 40%
12°C 34%
11°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
40%
8°C
14%
9°C
14%
10°C
11%
11°C
29%
12°C
34%
13°C
26%
14°C
12%
15°C
22%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
49%
17°C or higher 49%
7°C or below 40%
12°C 34%
11°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
17°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on September 11, 2026, indicate clear skies overnight with light northwest winds shifting southerly, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a projected low near 12°C. This aligns with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus emphasizes minimal cloud cover and dry conditions following a frontal passage, limiting overnight temperature moderation compared to typical September averages of 14–15°C. Differentiation among closely matched bins (11–13°C) hinges on precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in wind or humidity. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for mid-12°C readings against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, while lower-probability tails like 7°C or below reflect low-confidence outlier scenarios. Updated NWP runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on September 11, 2026, indicate clear skies overnight with light northwest winds shifting southerly, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a projected low near 12°C. This aligns with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus emphasizes minimal cloud cover and dry conditions following a frontal passage, limiting overnight temperature moderation compared to typical September averages of 14–15°C. Differentiation among closely matched bins (11–13°C) hinges on precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in wind or humidity. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for mid-12°C readings against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, while lower-probability tails like 7°C or below reflect low-confidence outlier scenarios. Updated NWP runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on September 11, 2026, indicate clear skies overnight with light northwest winds shifting southerly, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a projected low near 12°C. This aligns with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 32.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus emphasizes minimal cloud cover and dry conditions following a frontal passage, limiting overnight temperature moderation compared to typical September averages of 14–15°C. Differentiation among closely matched bins (11–13°C) hinges on precise boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in wind or humidity. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for mid-12°C readings against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, while lower-probability tails like 7°C or below reflect low-confidence outlier scenarios. Updated NWP runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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