**Forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C and 34°C.** Recent runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show highs near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeasterly flow and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms moderating peak heating. This aligns with the long-term September 10 average high of 32.4°C and follows hotter conditions earlier in the week (34–36°C on September 8–9). Increased moisture and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences or weak troughing reduce the likelihood of extremes above 35°C while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tight cluster of model guidance around 32–34°C, with resolution depending on the official observed maximum reported by local stations. Updated model runs and the China Meteorological Administration’s next briefing will provide the clearest near-term signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 18%
35°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
43%
34°C
27%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 18%
35°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
$71 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$127 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$558 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$125 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$286 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$199 ปริมาณ
43%
34°C
$416 ปริมาณ
27%
35°C
$201 ปริมาณ
7%
36°C
$160 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$209 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C and 34°C.**
Recent runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show highs near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeasterly flow and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms moderating peak heating. This aligns with the long-term September 10 average high of 32.4°C and follows hotter conditions earlier in the week (34–36°C on September 8–9). Increased moisture and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences or weak troughing reduce the likelihood of extremes above 35°C while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tight cluster of model guidance around 32–34°C, with resolution depending on the official observed maximum reported by local stations. Updated model runs and the China Meteorological Administration’s next briefing will provide the clearest near-term signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,372วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C and 34°C.**
Recent runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show highs near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeasterly flow and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms moderating peak heating. This aligns with the long-term September 10 average high of 32.4°C and follows hotter conditions earlier in the week (34–36°C on September 8–9). Increased moisture and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences or weak troughing reduce the likelihood of extremes above 35°C while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tight cluster of model guidance around 32–34°C, with resolution depending on the official observed maximum reported by local stations. Updated model runs and the China Meteorological Administration’s next briefing will provide the clearest near-term signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,372วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou on September 10 centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 33°C and 34°C.** Recent runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show highs near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeasterly flow and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms moderating peak heating. This aligns with the long-term September 10 average high of 32.4°C and follows hotter conditions earlier in the week (34–36°C on September 8–9). Increased moisture and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences or weak troughing reduce the likelihood of extremes above 35°C while limiting downside risk below 31°C. Traders appear to be weighting the tight cluster of model guidance around 32–34°C, with resolution depending on the official observed maximum reported by local stations. Updated model runs and the China Meteorological Administration’s next briefing will provide the clearest near-term signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย