**Current forecast consensus for Guangzhou points to a minimum temperature of 24–27°C on September 9, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and variable overnight cloud cover.** Official and model guidance (including hourly runs from sources like Yr and WeatherBug) show daytime highs near 32–34°C giving way to nighttime radiative cooling that is limited by 40–80% cloud fractions and a 30–65% chance of showers or thunderstorms, which trap heat and raise the floor. Clearer intervals could allow dips toward 24–25°C, while persistent clouds or precipitation favor 26–28°C. Historical September 9 averages near 24.6°C provide context, but short-term model spreads on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the close market probabilities around the 25–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before midnight local time will be the key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
26°C 50%
25°C 33%
24°C 27%
28°C 27%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
5%
24°C
27%
25°C
33%
26°C
32%
27°C
24%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
9%
26°C 50%
25°C 33%
24°C 27%
28°C 27%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
5%
24°C
27%
25°C
33%
26°C
32%
27°C
24%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus for Guangzhou points to a minimum temperature of 24–27°C on September 9, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and variable overnight cloud cover.** Official and model guidance (including hourly runs from sources like Yr and WeatherBug) show daytime highs near 32–34°C giving way to nighttime radiative cooling that is limited by 40–80% cloud fractions and a 30–65% chance of showers or thunderstorms, which trap heat and raise the floor. Clearer intervals could allow dips toward 24–25°C, while persistent clouds or precipitation favor 26–28°C. Historical September 9 averages near 24.6°C provide context, but short-term model spreads on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the close market probabilities around the 25–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations in the final hours before midnight local time will be the key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย