**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C in Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (46%) and 26°C (23.5%).** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows near 24.6°C, moderated here by northeasterly flow, elevated humidity (around 60%), and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs, including those projecting a low of 25.7°C with partly cloudy skies and light winds, reinforce this range, while historical extremes (19.4°C record low) remain unlikely without a stronger cold surge. Outlier probabilities for 19°C or below or 29°C+ reflect tail risks from forecast shifts or measurement variations, but current data favor the mid-20s cluster as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
19°C or below 51%
29°C or higher 51%
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
51%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
37%
26°C
23%
27°C
19%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
51%
19°C or below 51%
29°C or higher 51%
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$100 ปริมาณ
51%
20°C
$134 ปริมาณ
14%
21°C
$354 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C
$60 ปริมาณ
18%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
25°C
$14 ปริมาณ
37%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$38 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C or higher
$110 ปริมาณ
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C in Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (46%) and 26°C (23.5%).** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows near 24.6°C, moderated here by northeasterly flow, elevated humidity (around 60%), and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs, including those projecting a low of 25.7°C with partly cloudy skies and light winds, reinforce this range, while historical extremes (19.4°C record low) remain unlikely without a stronger cold surge. Outlier probabilities for 19°C or below or 29°C+ reflect tail risks from forecast shifts or measurement variations, but current data favor the mid-20s cluster as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$810วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C in Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (46%) and 26°C (23.5%).** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows near 24.6°C, moderated here by northeasterly flow, elevated humidity (around 60%), and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs, including those projecting a low of 25.7°C with partly cloudy skies and light winds, reinforce this range, while historical extremes (19.4°C record low) remain unlikely without a stronger cold surge. Outlier probabilities for 19°C or below or 29°C+ reflect tail risks from forecast shifts or measurement variations, but current data favor the mid-20s cluster as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$810วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C in Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (46%) and 26°C (23.5%).** Subtropical conditions in early September typically feature average lows near 24.6°C, moderated here by northeasterly flow, elevated humidity (around 60%), and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs, including those projecting a low of 25.7°C with partly cloudy skies and light winds, reinforce this range, while historical extremes (19.4°C record low) remain unlikely without a stronger cold surge. Outlier probabilities for 19°C or below or 29°C+ reflect tail risks from forecast shifts or measurement variations, but current data favor the mid-20s cluster as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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