Recent northerly winds advecting warmer, moister air from lower latitudes have driven a warming trend across the Buenos Aires region, positioning 21°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a Thursday maximum near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, with limited model spread supporting the 20°C and 22°C bins. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs average 18–20°C amid transitional spring patterns. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heating or slight forecast revisions higher, while the approaching cold front and sudestada expected Friday introduce downside risk to the distribution. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
21°C 39%
22°C 28%
20°C 17%
23°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
28%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 39%
22°C 28%
20°C 17%
23°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
15°C or below
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$41 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$129 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$652 ปริมาณ
17%
21°C
$688 ปริมาณ
39%
22°C
$728 ปริมาณ
28%
23°C
$206 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$18 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C or higher
$19 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds advecting warmer, moister air from lower latitudes have driven a warming trend across the Buenos Aires region, positioning 21°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a Thursday maximum near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, with limited model spread supporting the 20°C and 22°C bins. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs average 18–20°C amid transitional spring patterns. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heating or slight forecast revisions higher, while the approaching cold front and sudestada expected Friday introduce downside risk to the distribution. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,718วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds advecting warmer, moister air from lower latitudes have driven a warming trend across the Buenos Aires region, positioning 21°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a Thursday maximum near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, with limited model spread supporting the 20°C and 22°C bins. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs average 18–20°C amid transitional spring patterns. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heating or slight forecast revisions higher, while the approaching cold front and sudestada expected Friday introduce downside risk to the distribution. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,718วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds advecting warmer, moister air from lower latitudes have driven a warming trend across the Buenos Aires region, positioning 21°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a Thursday maximum near 19–20°C under mostly sunny conditions, with limited model spread supporting the 20°C and 22°C bins. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs average 18–20°C amid transitional spring patterns. Traders appear to weigh the potential for localized heating or slight forecast revisions higher, while the approaching cold front and sudestada expected Friday introduce downside risk to the distribution. Updated model runs and final observational data tomorrow will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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