Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Kuala Lumpur on September 11 are most likely to reach 30–33°C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability around 31°C and 32°C. September falls in the late Southwest Monsoon to inter-monsoon transition, when afternoon convection and thunderstorms frequently develop, increasing cloud cover and limiting solar heating. Official guidance from MetMalaysia highlights scattered thunderstorms with a forecast high of 33°C, while ensemble outputs and historical September climatology show mean daily maxima near 32°C and rare exceedances above 34°C. Current model consensus incorporates light winds and high humidity that further suppress extremes, keeping the distribution centered on 31–32°C absent an unexpected clear-sky period. Updated forecast runs and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any shift in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 11?
31°C 37%
32°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate daily maximum temperatures in Kuala Lumpur on September 11 are most likely to reach 30–33°C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability around 31°C and 32°C. September falls in the late Southwest Monsoon to inter-monsoon transition, when afternoon convection and thunderstorms frequently develop, increasing cloud cover and limiting solar heating. Official guidance from MetMalaysia highlights scattered thunderstorms with a forecast high of 33°C, while ensemble outputs and historical September climatology show mean daily maxima near 32°C and rare exceedances above 34°C. Current model consensus incorporates light winds and high humidity that further suppress extremes, keeping the distribution centered on 31–32°C absent an unexpected clear-sky period. Updated forecast runs and satellite monitoring of convective activity over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any shift in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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