Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Chongqing's September 9 maximum near 36–37 °C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and downslope warming within the Yangtze River basin are sustaining the elevated readings, while the city's mountainous terrain and urban heat island amplify daytime peaks relative to surrounding areas. Model spreads arise mainly from differing depictions of afternoon cloud cover and the precise timing of a weak frontal boundary expected late in the day. Historical early-September maxima average 28–30 °C, so the current anomaly reflects lingering summer-like conditions before cooler, moister air arrives around September 10. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local guidance will clarify whether the peak reaches 38 °C or stays capped near 36 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
37°C 35%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 10%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C
30%
37°C
35%
38°C
16%
39°C
6%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
3%
37°C 35%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 10%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C
30%
37°C
35%
38°C
16%
39°C
6%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Chongqing's September 9 maximum near 36–37 °C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and downslope warming within the Yangtze River basin are sustaining the elevated readings, while the city's mountainous terrain and urban heat island amplify daytime peaks relative to surrounding areas. Model spreads arise mainly from differing depictions of afternoon cloud cover and the precise timing of a weak frontal boundary expected late in the day. Historical early-September maxima average 28–30 °C, so the current anomaly reflects lingering summer-like conditions before cooler, moister air arrives around September 10. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local guidance will clarify whether the peak reaches 38 °C or stays capped near 36 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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