Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Istanbul around 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and allow moderate solar heating. Trader positioning favoring 25°C (69.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25%) likely reflects conservative weighting of official station data, historical September maxima near 25–27°C, and observed morning temperatures climbing steadily from the low 20s. Minor model spread and potential for localized cooling from the Bosphorus or brief afternoon cloud build keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with higher outcomes (27°C+) remaining low-probability tail risks absent unexpected warming. Updated hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the key data for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
25°C 57%
26°C 44%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
$18,300 ปริมาณ
$18,300 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
57%
26°C
44%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 57%
26°C 44%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
$18,300 ปริมาณ
$18,300 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$416 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$343 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,880 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$3,813 ปริมาณ
57%
26°C
$1,826 ปริมาณ
44%
27°C
$1,134 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,449 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,693 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$4,288 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Istanbul around 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and allow moderate solar heating. Trader positioning favoring 25°C (69.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25%) likely reflects conservative weighting of official station data, historical September maxima near 25–27°C, and observed morning temperatures climbing steadily from the low 20s. Minor model spread and potential for localized cooling from the Bosphorus or brief afternoon cloud build keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with higher outcomes (27°C+) remaining low-probability tail risks absent unexpected warming. Updated hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,300วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Istanbul around 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and allow moderate solar heating. Trader positioning favoring 25°C (69.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25%) likely reflects conservative weighting of official station data, historical September maxima near 25–27°C, and observed morning temperatures climbing steadily from the low 20s. Minor model spread and potential for localized cooling from the Bosphorus or brief afternoon cloud build keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with higher outcomes (27°C+) remaining low-probability tail risks absent unexpected warming. Updated hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,300วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Istanbul around 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and allow moderate solar heating. Trader positioning favoring 25°C (69.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25%) likely reflects conservative weighting of official station data, historical September maxima near 25–27°C, and observed morning temperatures climbing steadily from the low 20s. Minor model spread and potential for localized cooling from the Bosphorus or brief afternoon cloud build keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with higher outcomes (27°C+) remaining low-probability tail risks absent unexpected warming. Updated hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the key data for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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