Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in Denver on September 13 in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover early in the night, and weak radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–63 °F while leaving room for 57 °F or below if clearer conditions or a faster wind shift allow stronger cooling. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to these variables, and the spread in outcomes reflects typical divergence among short-range models this far ahead of the minimum temperature window. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Denver on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 13?
76°F or higher 53%
66-67°F 39%
57°F or below 30%
60-61°F 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
57°F or below
30%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
15%
76°F or higher
53%
76°F or higher 53%
66-67°F 39%
57°F or below 30%
60-61°F 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
57°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
76°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in Denver on September 13 in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover early in the night, and weak radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–63 °F while leaving room for 57 °F or below if clearer conditions or a faster wind shift allow stronger cooling. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to these variables, and the spread in outcomes reflects typical divergence among short-range models this far ahead of the minimum temperature window. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in Denver on September 13 in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover early in the night, and weak radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–63 °F while leaving room for 57 °F or below if clearer conditions or a faster wind shift allow stronger cooling. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to these variables, and the spread in outcomes reflects typical divergence among short-range models this far ahead of the minimum temperature window. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in Denver on September 13 in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover early in the night, and weak radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–63 °F while leaving room for 57 °F or below if clearer conditions or a faster wind shift allow stronger cooling. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to these variables, and the spread in outcomes reflects typical divergence among short-range models this far ahead of the minimum temperature window. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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