Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
26%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
30°C 20%
33°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$13 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$6 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$63 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
32°C
$159 ปริมาณ
36%
33°C
$59 ปริมาณ
19%
34°C
$25 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C or higher
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$629วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$629วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the main driver moderating temperatures ahead of September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C range under mainly fine, dry daytime conditions and north-to-northeast winds of force 4–5. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31–32°C, while model consensus and historical September baselines support a peak in the low 30s rather than extremes. Close market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflect uncertainty in exact afternoon heating tied to variable cloud cover, wind strength, and any late-day showers, with fresh HKO updates and regional model runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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