Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with the pre-event forecast range of 25–31°C under northeast monsoon flow that sustained drier air and clear overnight skies conducive to radiative cooling. This outcome matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where minima often settle near 25–26°C absent strong tropical moisture or cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability on the 25°C outcome reflects high confidence in the finalized HKO "Absolute Daily Min" value once published in the daily extract. Revisions to the official record or discrepancies across automated stations remain the primary, albeit low-probability, factors that could shift resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
25°C 99.5%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$38,230 ปริมาณ
$38,230 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$38,230 ปริมาณ
$38,230 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$1,045 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,050 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,591 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$5,713 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$9,846 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$5,754 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$8,860 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$3,103 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$86 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$96 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$86 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with the pre-event forecast range of 25–31°C under northeast monsoon flow that sustained drier air and clear overnight skies conducive to radiative cooling. This outcome matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where minima often settle near 25–26°C absent strong tropical moisture or cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability on the 25°C outcome reflects high confidence in the finalized HKO "Absolute Daily Min" value once published in the daily extract. Revisions to the official record or discrepancies across automated stations remain the primary, albeit low-probability, factors that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,230วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with the pre-event forecast range of 25–31°C under northeast monsoon flow that sustained drier air and clear overnight skies conducive to radiative cooling. This outcome matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where minima often settle near 25–26°C absent strong tropical moisture or cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability on the 25°C outcome reflects high confidence in the finalized HKO "Absolute Daily Min" value once published in the daily extract. Revisions to the official record or discrepancies across automated stations remain the primary, albeit low-probability, factors that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,230วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with the pre-event forecast range of 25–31°C under northeast monsoon flow that sustained drier air and clear overnight skies conducive to radiative cooling. This outcome matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where minima often settle near 25–26°C absent strong tropical moisture or cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability on the 25°C outcome reflects high confidence in the finalized HKO "Absolute Daily Min" value once published in the daily extract. Revisions to the official record or discrepancies across automated stations remain the primary, albeit low-probability, factors that could shift resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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