Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a west-southwesterly flow advecting mild but moist Atlantic air across southern England on September 13, with widespread cloud and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap daytime maxima near 23–24 °C. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24 °C, as small differences in shower timing or brief sunny breaks could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages for London hover near 20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 13?
Highest temperature in London on September 13?
23°C 32%
24°C 30%
22°C 20%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
20%
23°C
32%
24°C
30%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 32%
24°C 30%
22°C 20%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
$133 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$231 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$9 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$155 ปริมาณ
9%
22°C
$342 ปริมาณ
20%
23°C
$217 ปริมาณ
32%
24°C
$433 ปริมาณ
30%
25°C
$32 ปริมาณ
11%
26°C or higher
$64 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a west-southwesterly flow advecting mild but moist Atlantic air across southern England on September 13, with widespread cloud and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap daytime maxima near 23–24 °C. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24 °C, as small differences in shower timing or brief sunny breaks could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages for London hover near 20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,735วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a west-southwesterly flow advecting mild but moist Atlantic air across southern England on September 13, with widespread cloud and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap daytime maxima near 23–24 °C. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24 °C, as small differences in shower timing or brief sunny breaks could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages for London hover near 20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,735วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a west-southwesterly flow advecting mild but moist Atlantic air across southern England on September 13, with widespread cloud and scattered light showers expected to limit insolation and cap daytime maxima near 23–24 °C. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24 °C, as small differences in shower timing or brief sunny breaks could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages for London hover near 20 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation. Updated high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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