Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 12?
Highest temperature in London on September 12?
24°C 48%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
ใหม่
$10,804 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,804 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
32%
24°C
48%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
ใหม่
$10,804 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,804 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
$259 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$394 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,023 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$821 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$2,316 ปริมาณ
32%
24°C
$2,862 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$1,349 ปริมาณ
13%
26°C
$878 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C or higher
$574 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,804วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,804วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including Met Office guidance, indicate a maximum of 23–25°C in London on September 12 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Mild Atlantic air masses and a ridge of high pressure support temperatures modestly above the 20.5°C climatological average high, while stronger winds and potential afternoon cloud build-up cap further warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 24°C and 30.5% for 23°C, aligns with ensemble outputs showing limited potential for 26°C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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