Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate London overnight lows on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Stable high pressure and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud and urban heat effects support the 13°C leading outcome at 38.5%, while slight model spreads on wind speeds and timing of any incoming moisture differentiate the 14°C (31.5%) and 12°C (22%) scenarios. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet current conditions trending above normal reduce tail risks below 11°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will clarify exact minimum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 12?
Lowest temperature in London on September 12?
13°C 36%
14°C 35%
11°C 19%
12°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
8%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
19%
12°C
16%
13°C
36%
14°C
35%
15°C
16%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
13%
13°C 36%
14°C 35%
11°C 19%
12°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
12°C
$22 ปริมาณ
16%
13°C
$256 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$124 ปริมาณ
35%
15°C
$92 ปริมาณ
16%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate London overnight lows on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Stable high pressure and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud and urban heat effects support the 13°C leading outcome at 38.5%, while slight model spreads on wind speeds and timing of any incoming moisture differentiate the 14°C (31.5%) and 12°C (22%) scenarios. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet current conditions trending above normal reduce tail risks below 11°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will clarify exact minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$499วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate London overnight lows on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Stable high pressure and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud and urban heat effects support the 13°C leading outcome at 38.5%, while slight model spreads on wind speeds and timing of any incoming moisture differentiate the 14°C (31.5%) and 12°C (22%) scenarios. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet current conditions trending above normal reduce tail risks below 11°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will clarify exact minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$499วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate London overnight lows on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Stable high pressure and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud and urban heat effects support the 13°C leading outcome at 38.5%, while slight model spreads on wind speeds and timing of any incoming moisture differentiate the 14°C (31.5%) and 12°C (22%) scenarios. Historical September averages near 11.8°C provide context, yet current conditions trending above normal reduce tail risks below 11°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will clarify exact minimum readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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