Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a maximum temperature in Munich of 18–19°C on September 10, driven by easterly flow and partial clearing after overnight cloud cover and light rain. This positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 51% implied probability, consistent with the seasonal average high of 20.5°C but tempered by cooler post-frontal conditions. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with 20°C remaining plausible if daytime heating exceeds current projections. Traders are weighting the consensus run toward the lower end of the historical range, pending any late model adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 51%
18°C 22%
20°C 19%
21°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
51%
20°C
19%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 51%
18°C 22%
20°C 19%
21°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
51%
20°C
19%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a maximum temperature in Munich of 18–19°C on September 10, driven by easterly flow and partial clearing after overnight cloud cover and light rain. This positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 51% implied probability, consistent with the seasonal average high of 20.5°C but tempered by cooler post-frontal conditions. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with 20°C remaining plausible if daytime heating exceeds current projections. Traders are weighting the consensus run toward the lower end of the historical range, pending any late model adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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