**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday minimum temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for New York City, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 68–71°F bins.** Northwest flow behind a frontal passage is promoting gradual clearing and drier air, supporting modest overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80–81°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering the daily minimum near 69–70°F at Central Park and airport sites; this consensus underpins the 42.5% implied probability on 70–71°F and 29.5% on 68–69°F. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and the primary uncertainty remains minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the low by 1–2°F either side of the leading range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
5%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
66-67°F
$59 ปริมาณ
10%
68-69°F
$329 ปริมาณ
28%
70-71°F
$1,285 ปริมาณ
41%
72-73°F
$118 ปริมาณ
22%
74-75°F
$73 ปริมาณ
4%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
78-79°F
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
80°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday minimum temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for New York City, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 68–71°F bins.** Northwest flow behind a frontal passage is promoting gradual clearing and drier air, supporting modest overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80–81°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering the daily minimum near 69–70°F at Central Park and airport sites; this consensus underpins the 42.5% implied probability on 70–71°F and 29.5% on 68–69°F. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and the primary uncertainty remains minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the low by 1–2°F either side of the leading range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,875วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday minimum temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for New York City, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 68–71°F bins.** Northwest flow behind a frontal passage is promoting gradual clearing and drier air, supporting modest overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80–81°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering the daily minimum near 69–70°F at Central Park and airport sites; this consensus underpins the 42.5% implied probability on 70–71°F and 29.5% on 68–69°F. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and the primary uncertainty remains minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the low by 1–2°F either side of the leading range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,875วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a Friday minimum temperature in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for New York City, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 68–71°F bins.** Northwest flow behind a frontal passage is promoting gradual clearing and drier air, supporting modest overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80–81°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering the daily minimum near 69–70°F at Central Park and airport sites; this consensus underpins the 42.5% implied probability on 70–71°F and 29.5% on 68–69°F. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, and the primary uncertainty remains minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that could nudge the low by 1–2°F either side of the leading range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย