Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 71–75°F in Central Park on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak front, with dew points near 70°F limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (36.5% implied probability) and adjacent 72–73°F outcome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 63.5°F. Earlier September cooling to the low 60s has given way to this milder regime, with latest model runs showing little change through the overnight period and minimal risk of stronger northerly advection before dawn. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the narrow 72–75°F window while assigning only modest odds to cooler or warmer extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
74-75°F 37%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
2%
74-75°F 37%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
67°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
70-71°F
$115 ปริมาณ
12%
72-73°F
$186 ปริมาณ
25%
74-75°F
$81 ปริมาณ
37%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
86°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 71–75°F in Central Park on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak front, with dew points near 70°F limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (36.5% implied probability) and adjacent 72–73°F outcome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 63.5°F. Earlier September cooling to the low 60s has given way to this milder regime, with latest model runs showing little change through the overnight period and minimal risk of stronger northerly advection before dawn. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the narrow 72–75°F window while assigning only modest odds to cooler or warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$382วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 71–75°F in Central Park on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak front, with dew points near 70°F limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (36.5% implied probability) and adjacent 72–73°F outcome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 63.5°F. Earlier September cooling to the low 60s has given way to this milder regime, with latest model runs showing little change through the overnight period and minimal risk of stronger northerly advection before dawn. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the narrow 72–75°F window while assigning only modest odds to cooler or warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$382วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 71–75°F in Central Park on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak front, with dew points near 70°F limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (36.5% implied probability) and adjacent 72–73°F outcome, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 63.5°F. Earlier September cooling to the low 60s has given way to this milder regime, with latest model runs showing little change through the overnight period and minimal risk of stronger northerly advection before dawn. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the narrow 72–75°F window while assigning only modest odds to cooler or warmer extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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