**Trader consensus favors a 72–75°F minimum in New York City on September 10, with the two leading bins nearly tied.** Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show an early-morning low near 73°F under a warm, humid air mass with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies. Recent climatological data indicate elevated overnight temperatures persisting after a string of days with minima in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The narrow spread between 72–73°F and 74–75°F reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of any wind shift or partial clearing that could allow slightly more cooling before sunrise, alongside typical model variability in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island influences across observation sites. New observational data through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 42%
68-69°F 11%
70-71°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 42%
68-69°F 11%
70-71°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
67°F or below
$225 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$9 ปริมาณ
11%
70-71°F
$449 ปริมาณ
8%
72-73°F
$1,061 ปริมาณ
42%
74-75°F
$1,024 ปริมาณ
44%
76-77°F
$451 ปริมาณ
8%
78-79°F
$188 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$172 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$240 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$283 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors a 72–75°F minimum in New York City on September 10, with the two leading bins nearly tied.** Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show an early-morning low near 73°F under a warm, humid air mass with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies. Recent climatological data indicate elevated overnight temperatures persisting after a string of days with minima in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The narrow spread between 72–73°F and 74–75°F reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of any wind shift or partial clearing that could allow slightly more cooling before sunrise, alongside typical model variability in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island influences across observation sites. New observational data through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,251วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favors a 72–75°F minimum in New York City on September 10, with the two leading bins nearly tied.** Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show an early-morning low near 73°F under a warm, humid air mass with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies. Recent climatological data indicate elevated overnight temperatures persisting after a string of days with minima in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The narrow spread between 72–73°F and 74–75°F reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of any wind shift or partial clearing that could allow slightly more cooling before sunrise, alongside typical model variability in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island influences across observation sites. New observational data through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,251วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favors a 72–75°F minimum in New York City on September 10, with the two leading bins nearly tied.** Official National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show an early-morning low near 73°F under a warm, humid air mass with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and mostly cloudy skies. Recent climatological data indicate elevated overnight temperatures persisting after a string of days with minima in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The narrow spread between 72–73°F and 74–75°F reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of any wind shift or partial clearing that could allow slightly more cooling before sunrise, alongside typical model variability in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island influences across observation sites. New observational data through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย