Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
32°C 68%
31°C 19%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
19%
32°C
68%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 68%
31°C 19%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$692 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$383 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$399 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$403 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$2,764 ปริมาณ
19%
32°C
$4,721 ปริมาณ
68%
33°C
$2,164 ปริมาณ
10%
34°C
$264 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$264 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$445 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,644วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,644วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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