**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight are the main drivers keeping NYC's expected low temperature clustered in the 70–73°F range for September 13.** Official National Weather Service guidance from the New York office projects lows of 68–69°F at major airports and around 68°F in Central Park, while several private models and ensemble runs trend slightly warmer near 70–72°F due to limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and steady onshore flow. The close split in market-implied odds between 70–71°F and 72–73°F reflects minor differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture retention, which can suppress overnight drops by 2–4°F compared with clearer conditions. A modest chance of localized clearing or stronger winds could allow readings to dip toward 68–69°F, but current model consensus favors the warmer side of that narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
68-69°F
$384 ปริมาณ
12%
70-71°F
$127 ปริมาณ
41%
72-73°F
$512 ปริมาณ
44%
74-75°F
$266 ปริมาณ
7%
76-77°F
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
78-79°F
$30 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$30 ปริมาณ
1%
82°F or higher
$45 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight are the main drivers keeping NYC's expected low temperature clustered in the 70–73°F range for September 13.** Official National Weather Service guidance from the New York office projects lows of 68–69°F at major airports and around 68°F in Central Park, while several private models and ensemble runs trend slightly warmer near 70–72°F due to limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and steady onshore flow. The close split in market-implied odds between 70–71°F and 72–73°F reflects minor differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture retention, which can suppress overnight drops by 2–4°F compared with clearer conditions. A modest chance of localized clearing or stronger winds could allow readings to dip toward 68–69°F, but current model consensus favors the warmer side of that narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,438วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight are the main drivers keeping NYC's expected low temperature clustered in the 70–73°F range for September 13.** Official National Weather Service guidance from the New York office projects lows of 68–69°F at major airports and around 68°F in Central Park, while several private models and ensemble runs trend slightly warmer near 70–72°F due to limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and steady onshore flow. The close split in market-implied odds between 70–71°F and 72–73°F reflects minor differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture retention, which can suppress overnight drops by 2–4°F compared with clearer conditions. A modest chance of localized clearing or stronger winds could allow readings to dip toward 68–69°F, but current model consensus favors the warmer side of that narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,438วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight are the main drivers keeping NYC's expected low temperature clustered in the 70–73°F range for September 13.** Official National Weather Service guidance from the New York office projects lows of 68–69°F at major airports and around 68°F in Central Park, while several private models and ensemble runs trend slightly warmer near 70–72°F due to limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and steady onshore flow. The close split in market-implied odds between 70–71°F and 72–73°F reflects minor differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture retention, which can suppress overnight drops by 2–4°F compared with clearer conditions. A modest chance of localized clearing or stronger winds could allow readings to dip toward 68–69°F, but current model consensus favors the warmer side of that narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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