Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$321 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$12 ปริมาณ
19%
30°C
$6 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$278 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$11 ปริมาณ
23%
33°C
$200 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$959วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$959วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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