Recent cold air intrusion combined with widespread precipitation has driven the sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts and numerical models converging on a daytime high of 22–23°C for September 10 under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity are limiting solar heating, keeping afternoon temperatures well below early-September norms near 30°C. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around the peak value, though the exact timing of any brief clearing could nudge readings toward 24°C or hold them at 21°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus output from regional models most heavily ahead of the final observational update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
22°C 28%
23°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
28%
23°C
26%
24°C
18%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 28%
23°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
28%
23°C
26%
24°C
18%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air intrusion combined with widespread precipitation has driven the sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts and numerical models converging on a daytime high of 22–23°C for September 10 under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity are limiting solar heating, keeping afternoon temperatures well below early-September norms near 30°C. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around the peak value, though the exact timing of any brief clearing could nudge readings toward 24°C or hold them at 21°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus output from regional models most heavily ahead of the final observational update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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