Recent cold air intrusion and associated rainfall across the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating and moderating overnight lows for September 10. Official forecasts converge on a daily minimum near 17–18 °C under widespread rain (high probability of precipitation), though model spreads arise from differences in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the lowest hourly reading by 1 °C. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 17 °C and 18 °C, while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely given the established synoptic pattern. Final station observations later on the 10th will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
15°C 89%
14°C or below 54%
17°C 49%
16°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
54%
15°C
89%
16°C
48%
17°C
49%
18°C
50%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
15°C 89%
14°C or below 54%
17°C 49%
16°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$35 ปริมาณ
54%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
89%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$6 ปริมาณ
50%
19°C
$229 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion and associated rainfall across the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating and moderating overnight lows for September 10. Official forecasts converge on a daily minimum near 17–18 °C under widespread rain (high probability of precipitation), though model spreads arise from differences in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the lowest hourly reading by 1 °C. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 17 °C and 18 °C, while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely given the established synoptic pattern. Final station observations later on the 10th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$816วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion and associated rainfall across the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating and moderating overnight lows for September 10. Official forecasts converge on a daily minimum near 17–18 °C under widespread rain (high probability of precipitation), though model spreads arise from differences in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the lowest hourly reading by 1 °C. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 17 °C and 18 °C, while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely given the established synoptic pattern. Final station observations later on the 10th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$816วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air intrusion and associated rainfall across the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with persistent cloud cover, showers, and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating and moderating overnight lows for September 10. Official forecasts converge on a daily minimum near 17–18 °C under widespread rain (high probability of precipitation), though model spreads arise from differences in exact rainfall timing, intensity, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the lowest hourly reading by 1 °C. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 17 °C and 18 °C, while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely given the established synoptic pattern. Final station observations later on the 10th will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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