Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 14 point to a high in the upper 90s to low 100s°F under persistent southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Recent observations show daytime maxima near 99–100°F with heat indices exceeding 107°F, consistent with above-average late-summer warmth. Historical data place the September 14 average high at 91°F and the record at 101°F, underscoring how current atmospheric conditions support temperatures near or slightly above that benchmark. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of guidance and low precipitation chances when assigning the combined 74% implied probability to those two outcomes ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 14?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
89°F or below
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$227 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
94-95°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
96-97°F
$69 ปริมาณ
16%
98-99°F
$225 ปริมาณ
43%
100-101°F
$562 ปริมาณ
32%
102-103°F
$576 ปริมาณ
6%
104-105°F
$101 ปริมาณ
2%
106-107°F
$217 ปริมาณ
1%
108°F or higher
$161 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 14 point to a high in the upper 90s to low 100s°F under persistent southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Recent observations show daytime maxima near 99–100°F with heat indices exceeding 107°F, consistent with above-average late-summer warmth. Historical data place the September 14 average high at 91°F and the record at 101°F, underscoring how current atmospheric conditions support temperatures near or slightly above that benchmark. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of guidance and low precipitation chances when assigning the combined 74% implied probability to those two outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,256วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 14 point to a high in the upper 90s to low 100s°F under persistent southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Recent observations show daytime maxima near 99–100°F with heat indices exceeding 107°F, consistent with above-average late-summer warmth. Historical data place the September 14 average high at 91°F and the record at 101°F, underscoring how current atmospheric conditions support temperatures near or slightly above that benchmark. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of guidance and low precipitation chances when assigning the combined 74% implied probability to those two outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,256วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on September 14 point to a high in the upper 90s to low 100s°F under persistent southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, positioning the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins as the clear market leaders. Recent observations show daytime maxima near 99–100°F with heat indices exceeding 107°F, consistent with above-average late-summer warmth. Historical data place the September 14 average high at 91°F and the record at 101°F, underscoring how current atmospheric conditions support temperatures near or slightly above that benchmark. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of guidance and low precipitation chances when assigning the combined 74% implied probability to those two outcomes ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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