Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5-7 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for 26°C, incorporates minor model spread and potential for afternoon clearing that could nudge readings toward 27°C. Meteo-France updates and final observational data before midnight local time represent the key resolution catalysts, with historical analogs showing similar setups rarely exceeding 28°C under these pressure patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 13?
26°C 38%
25°C 24%
27°C 21%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
21%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
25°C 24%
27°C 21%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$123 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$107 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$785 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C
$1,250 ปริมาณ
24%
26°C
$1,080 ปริมาณ
38%
27°C
$1,275 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$738 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$270 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$422 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$406 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5-7 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for 26°C, incorporates minor model spread and potential for afternoon clearing that could nudge readings toward 27°C. Meteo-France updates and final observational data before midnight local time represent the key resolution catalysts, with historical analogs showing similar setups rarely exceeding 28°C under these pressure patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,596วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5-7 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for 26°C, incorporates minor model spread and potential for afternoon clearing that could nudge readings toward 27°C. Meteo-France updates and final observational data before midnight local time represent the key resolution catalysts, with historical analogs showing similar setups rarely exceeding 28°C under these pressure patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,596วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 26°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds around 5-7 mph. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38% implied probability for 26°C, incorporates minor model spread and potential for afternoon clearing that could nudge readings toward 27°C. Meteo-France updates and final observational data before midnight local time represent the key resolution catalysts, with historical analogs showing similar setups rarely exceeding 28°C under these pressure patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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