Recent GFS and ensemble model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and increasing low-level cloud cover that will moderate temperature drops across the Paris region. Forecast minimums cluster near 15–16 °C, consistent with a warmer-than-average air mass for mid-September and well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of roughly 12 °C. This alignment of deterministic and statistical guidance has concentrated trader positioning on 14 °C and 15 °C as the most probable outcomes, while lower probabilities for 13 °C or below reflect only modest downside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 24 hours will determine whether the distribution shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
14°C 51%
15°C 24%
13°C 21%
12°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
7%
11°C
6%
12°C
9%
13°C
21%
14°C
51%
15°C
24%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
2%
14°C 51%
15°C 24%
13°C 21%
12°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
12°C
$279 ปริมาณ
9%
13°C
$247 ปริมาณ
21%
14°C
$462 ปริมาณ
51%
15°C
$210 ปริมาณ
24%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
19°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and increasing low-level cloud cover that will moderate temperature drops across the Paris region. Forecast minimums cluster near 15–16 °C, consistent with a warmer-than-average air mass for mid-September and well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of roughly 12 °C. This alignment of deterministic and statistical guidance has concentrated trader positioning on 14 °C and 15 °C as the most probable outcomes, while lower probabilities for 13 °C or below reflect only modest downside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 24 hours will determine whether the distribution shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,198วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and increasing low-level cloud cover that will moderate temperature drops across the Paris region. Forecast minimums cluster near 15–16 °C, consistent with a warmer-than-average air mass for mid-September and well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of roughly 12 °C. This alignment of deterministic and statistical guidance has concentrated trader positioning on 14 °C and 15 °C as the most probable outcomes, while lower probabilities for 13 °C or below reflect only modest downside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 24 hours will determine whether the distribution shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,198วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ensemble model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and increasing low-level cloud cover that will moderate temperature drops across the Paris region. Forecast minimums cluster near 15–16 °C, consistent with a warmer-than-average air mass for mid-September and well above the 1991–2020 climatological low of roughly 12 °C. This alignment of deterministic and statistical guidance has concentrated trader positioning on 14 °C and 15 °C as the most probable outcomes, while lower probabilities for 13 °C or below reflect only modest downside risk if clouds clear earlier than expected. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 24 hours will determine whether the distribution shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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