Recent forecasts for Toronto on September 13 point to an overnight low near 13–17°C, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler air behind a departing system and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Models diverge on exact timing of any showers and clearing skies, which directly affects how much temperatures drop before dawn. This uncertainty explains the tight clustering around 15–16°C outcomes, while the notable share for 9°C or below reflects tail risks from stronger cooling if skies clear earlier than expected. Historical September minima near 14°C provide baseline context, but current steering patterns and moisture levels keep the market-implied odds closely balanced ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 13?
9°C or below 60%
10°C 36%
11°C 36%
12°C 36%
9°C or below
60%
10°C
36%
11°C
36%
12°C
36%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
27%
16°C
33%
17°C
21%
18°C
20%
19°C or higher
29%
9°C or below 60%
10°C 36%
11°C 36%
12°C 36%
9°C or below
60%
10°C
36%
11°C
36%
12°C
36%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
27%
16°C
33%
17°C
21%
18°C
20%
19°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Toronto on September 13 point to an overnight low near 13–17°C, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler air behind a departing system and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling. Models diverge on exact timing of any showers and clearing skies, which directly affects how much temperatures drop before dawn. This uncertainty explains the tight clustering around 15–16°C outcomes, while the notable share for 9°C or below reflects tail risks from stronger cooling if skies clear earlier than expected. Historical September minima near 14°C provide baseline context, but current steering patterns and moisture levels keep the market-implied odds closely balanced ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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