Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 most likely near 31–33 °C, driven by expected cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Steep humidity gradients and light northeasterly winds are expected to further moderate peak values, keeping readings below the long-term September average high of 32 °C while reducing the chance of brief afternoon spikes to 34 °C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest spread in maximum temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than large discrepancies in overall atmospheric setup. Traders appear to weigh these near-term meteorological variables heavily, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34 °C underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes under current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
33°C 27%
34°C 19%
32°C 18%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
16%
32°C
18%
33°C
27%
34°C
19%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
4%
33°C 27%
34°C 19%
32°C 18%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
31°C
$7 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$11 ปริมาณ
27%
34°C
$10 ปริมาณ
19%
35°C
$171 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 most likely near 31–33 °C, driven by expected cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Steep humidity gradients and light northeasterly winds are expected to further moderate peak values, keeping readings below the long-term September average high of 32 °C while reducing the chance of brief afternoon spikes to 34 °C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest spread in maximum temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than large discrepancies in overall atmospheric setup. Traders appear to weigh these near-term meteorological variables heavily, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34 °C underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes under current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$224วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 most likely near 31–33 °C, driven by expected cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Steep humidity gradients and light northeasterly winds are expected to further moderate peak values, keeping readings below the long-term September average high of 32 °C while reducing the chance of brief afternoon spikes to 34 °C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest spread in maximum temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than large discrepancies in overall atmospheric setup. Traders appear to weigh these near-term meteorological variables heavily, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34 °C underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes under current conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$224วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 most likely near 31–33 °C, driven by expected cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Steep humidity gradients and light northeasterly winds are expected to further moderate peak values, keeping readings below the long-term September average high of 32 °C while reducing the chance of brief afternoon spikes to 34 °C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest spread in maximum temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than large discrepancies in overall atmospheric setup. Traders appear to weigh these near-term meteorological variables heavily, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34 °C underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes under current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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