Recent short-range forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show closely aligned maximum temperatures for Wuhan on September 12, centered near 29–31 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn transition patterns following a recent cold-air intrusion that has moderated daytime highs after early September warmth. Ensemble outputs diverge modestly on boundary-layer moisture and insolation, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Historical September maxima average near 28–29 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above the climatological baseline without indicating extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$325 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$2 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$3 ปริมาณ
26%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show closely aligned maximum temperatures for Wuhan on September 12, centered near 29–31 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn transition patterns following a recent cold-air intrusion that has moderated daytime highs after early September warmth. Ensemble outputs diverge modestly on boundary-layer moisture and insolation, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Historical September maxima average near 28–29 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above the climatological baseline without indicating extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$330วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show closely aligned maximum temperatures for Wuhan on September 12, centered near 29–31 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn transition patterns following a recent cold-air intrusion that has moderated daytime highs after early September warmth. Ensemble outputs diverge modestly on boundary-layer moisture and insolation, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Historical September maxima average near 28–29 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above the climatological baseline without indicating extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$330วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show closely aligned maximum temperatures for Wuhan on September 12, centered near 29–31 °C under mostly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This positioning reflects typical early-autumn transition patterns following a recent cold-air intrusion that has moderated daytime highs after early September warmth. Ensemble outputs diverge modestly on boundary-layer moisture and insolation, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32 °C. Historical September maxima average near 28–29 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above the climatological baseline without indicating extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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