Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and increased cloud cover or showers on September 14, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 22–23°C as the most probable outcomes. Istanbul’s late-summer pattern, driven by the seasonal strengthening of northerly flow, has produced a sharp cooldown from the 29°C peak on September 12, with official guidance showing highs of 22–25°C and precipitation chances of 10–80% that limit daytime heating. Model runs emphasize this range, with minor disagreements on exact wind strength and shower timing creating the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
22°C 64%
21°C 19%
23°C 15%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
19%
22°C
64%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 64%
21°C 19%
23°C 15%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
$117 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$147 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$104 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$143 ปริมาณ
19%
22°C
$558 ปริมาณ
64%
23°C
$130 ปริมาณ
15%
24°C
$19 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$73 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and increased cloud cover or showers on September 14, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 22–23°C as the most probable outcomes. Istanbul’s late-summer pattern, driven by the seasonal strengthening of northerly flow, has produced a sharp cooldown from the 29°C peak on September 12, with official guidance showing highs of 22–25°C and precipitation chances of 10–80% that limit daytime heating. Model runs emphasize this range, with minor disagreements on exact wind strength and shower timing creating the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,274วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and increased cloud cover or showers on September 14, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 22–23°C as the most probable outcomes. Istanbul’s late-summer pattern, driven by the seasonal strengthening of northerly flow, has produced a sharp cooldown from the 29°C peak on September 12, with official guidance showing highs of 22–25°C and precipitation chances of 10–80% that limit daytime heating. Model runs emphasize this range, with minor disagreements on exact wind strength and shower timing creating the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,274วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderating influence from northerly winds and increased cloud cover or showers on September 14, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 22–23°C as the most probable outcomes. Istanbul’s late-summer pattern, driven by the seasonal strengthening of northerly flow, has produced a sharp cooldown from the 29°C peak on September 12, with official guidance showing highs of 22–25°C and precipitation chances of 10–80% that limit daytime heating. Model runs emphasize this range, with minor disagreements on exact wind strength and shower timing creating the narrow spread between 21°C and 23°C probabilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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