**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Yr.no and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of around 12–15°C for Buenos Aires on September 14, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly or northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (28.5%) and especially 16°C (47.0%), reflecting trader consensus on modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 6–9°C. A stable high-pressure pattern and limited warm-air advection from the north are the dominant drivers, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of roughly 15–18°C highs. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s spring outlook highlighted elevated odds (40–55%) of below-normal temperatures across the region amid broader El Niño influences, which has reinforced cooler baseline conditions and reduced upside risk in short-range models. With minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected, the daily maximum is unlikely to exceed 17°C or drop below 14°C absent a major forecast shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
16°C 48%
15°C 29%
17°C 13%
14°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
29%
16°C
48%
17°C
13%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
16°C 48%
15°C 29%
17°C 13%
14°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$154 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$60 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$135 ปริมาณ
7%
15°C
$128 ปริมาณ
29%
16°C
$454 ปริมาณ
48%
17°C
$468 ปริมาณ
13%
18°C
$228 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$106 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Yr.no and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of around 12–15°C for Buenos Aires on September 14, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly or northeasterly winds.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (28.5%) and especially 16°C (47.0%), reflecting trader consensus on modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 6–9°C. A stable high-pressure pattern and limited warm-air advection from the north are the dominant drivers, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of roughly 15–18°C highs.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s spring outlook highlighted elevated odds (40–55%) of below-normal temperatures across the region amid broader El Niño influences, which has reinforced cooler baseline conditions and reduced upside risk in short-range models. With minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected, the daily maximum is unlikely to exceed 17°C or drop below 14°C absent a major forecast shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,846วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Yr.no and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of around 12–15°C for Buenos Aires on September 14, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly or northeasterly winds.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (28.5%) and especially 16°C (47.0%), reflecting trader consensus on modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 6–9°C. A stable high-pressure pattern and limited warm-air advection from the north are the dominant drivers, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of roughly 15–18°C highs.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s spring outlook highlighted elevated odds (40–55%) of below-normal temperatures across the region amid broader El Niño influences, which has reinforced cooler baseline conditions and reduced upside risk in short-range models. With minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected, the daily maximum is unlikely to exceed 17°C or drop below 14°C absent a major forecast shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,846วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Yr.no and the UK Met Office, indicate a high of around 12–15°C for Buenos Aires on September 14, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northerly or northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C (28.5%) and especially 16°C (47.0%), reflecting trader consensus on modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 6–9°C. A stable high-pressure pattern and limited warm-air advection from the north are the dominant drivers, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the September climatological average of roughly 15–18°C highs. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s spring outlook highlighted elevated odds (40–55%) of below-normal temperatures across the region amid broader El Niño influences, which has reinforced cooler baseline conditions and reduced upside risk in short-range models. With minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected, the daily maximum is unlikely to exceed 17°C or drop below 14°C absent a major forecast shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 12–24 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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