Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show mostly cloudy conditions with light morning showers or drizzle across Tokyo on September 13, moderating solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and light northeasterly winds reduce the urban heat island effect and limit afternoon warming compared to clearer September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster on 25°C and 26°C because ensemble runs diverge on the precise timing of any partial clearing versus continued overcast skies, with official resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than models. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against historical late-summer variability for the Kanto region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
25°C 61%
26°C 25%
24°C 11%
27°C 5%
ใหม่
$34,745 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,745 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
61%
26°C
25%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 61%
26°C 25%
24°C 11%
27°C 5%
ใหม่
$34,745 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,745 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$1,377 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,142 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$7,360 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$4,177 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$4,027 ปริมาณ
61%
26°C
$4,307 ปริมาณ
25%
27°C
$4,385 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$3,693 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$1,673 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$1,226 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,483 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show mostly cloudy conditions with light morning showers or drizzle across Tokyo on September 13, moderating solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and light northeasterly winds reduce the urban heat island effect and limit afternoon warming compared to clearer September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster on 25°C and 26°C because ensemble runs diverge on the precise timing of any partial clearing versus continued overcast skies, with official resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than models. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against historical late-summer variability for the Kanto region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,745วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show mostly cloudy conditions with light morning showers or drizzle across Tokyo on September 13, moderating solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and light northeasterly winds reduce the urban heat island effect and limit afternoon warming compared to clearer September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster on 25°C and 26°C because ensemble runs diverge on the precise timing of any partial clearing versus continued overcast skies, with official resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than models. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against historical late-summer variability for the Kanto region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,745วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles show mostly cloudy conditions with light morning showers or drizzle across Tokyo on September 13, moderating solar heating and capping the daily maximum near 25–27°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and light northeasterly winds reduce the urban heat island effect and limit afternoon warming compared to clearer September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster on 25°C and 26°C because ensemble runs diverge on the precise timing of any partial clearing versus continued overcast skies, with official resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than models. Traders weigh these atmospheric variables against historical late-summer variability for the Kanto region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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