Forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned outlooks and international ensembles indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 13 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with spring climatology, where September daytime maxima average near 13°C but can reach the mid-teens when high pressure ridges suppress cloud cover and mixing. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or stronger northerlies expected to alter the outcome before the daily peak. The heavy market weighting on 15°C reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 14°C or 16°C capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum timing and local microclimate effects at official recording sites. Updated guidance overnight could refine the final reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
15°C 67%
14°C 18%
16°C 17%
17°C 2.5%
ใหม่
$14,395 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,395 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
18%
15°C
67%
16°C
17%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 67%
14°C 18%
16°C 17%
17°C 2.5%
ใหม่
$14,395 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,395 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
10°C or below
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$284 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$1,093 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$2,842 ปริมาณ
18%
15°C
$4,280 ปริมาณ
67%
16°C
$4,015 ปริมาณ
17%
17°C
$536 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$48 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$746 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$213 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned outlooks and international ensembles indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 13 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with spring climatology, where September daytime maxima average near 13°C but can reach the mid-teens when high pressure ridges suppress cloud cover and mixing. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or stronger northerlies expected to alter the outcome before the daily peak. The heavy market weighting on 15°C reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 14°C or 16°C capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum timing and local microclimate effects at official recording sites. Updated guidance overnight could refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,395วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned outlooks and international ensembles indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 13 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with spring climatology, where September daytime maxima average near 13°C but can reach the mid-teens when high pressure ridges suppress cloud cover and mixing. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or stronger northerlies expected to alter the outcome before the daily peak. The heavy market weighting on 15°C reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 14°C or 16°C capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum timing and local microclimate effects at official recording sites. Updated guidance overnight could refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,395วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including MetService-aligned outlooks and international ensembles indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 13 under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with spring climatology, where September daytime maxima average near 13°C but can reach the mid-teens when high pressure ridges suppress cloud cover and mixing. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or stronger northerlies expected to alter the outcome before the daily peak. The heavy market weighting on 15°C reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 14°C or 16°C capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum timing and local microclimate effects at official recording sites. Updated guidance overnight could refine the final reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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